Bihar Election 2025: Full Analysis, Key Issues & Stakes
Bihar Election 2025: Full Analysis, Key Issues & Stakes
Bihar, India — 2025
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1️⃣ Key Political Players & Alliances
- NDA (National Democratic Alliance): BJP, JD(U), LJP (Ram Vilas), HAM (Secular), RLM.
- Mahagathbandhan / INDIA Bloc: Led by RJD (Tejashwi Yadav), includes Congress, CPI, CPM, CPI‑ML, VIP.
- Jan Suraaj Party (JSP): New party led by Prashant Kishor, focusing on change, governance, and development.
- Grand Democratic Alliance (GDA): Third front including AIMIM, Azad Samaj Party, Apna Janata Party.
2️⃣ Voter Demographics & Turnout
- Total eligible voters: ~74.2 million after final voter list revision.
- New voters added: 2.153 million; removed: 0.366 million.
- Voter turnout: 67.14% overall; 71.6% women participation.
- Notably, no repolling was ordered, marking a smooth election process.
3️⃣ Key Election Issues
Economic & Employment Challenges
- Unemployment among youth is high, prompting strong focus on jobs.
- Large migration of workers from Bihar seeking employment elsewhere.
- Parties promise infrastructure, industrial development, and MSME growth.
Caste & Social Balance
- EBCs and OBCs constitute ~63% of voters.
- Caste-based politics remain influential, but newer parties focus on development and governance.
Youth & First-Time Voters
- Gen Z voters increasingly focus on education, jobs, and governance rather than traditional caste-based politics.
Health, Education & Social Welfare
- Malnutrition, child health, and education quality remain key issues.
- Welfare programs, local governance improvements, and social schemes are major election promises.
4️⃣ Party Manifestos Highlights
NDA
- 1 crore new jobs.
- Free KG–PG education.
- Rs 2,000/month for SC students in higher education.
- Infrastructure projects: 7 expressways, 7 airports, 100 MSME parks.
- Social welfare: free rations, women entrepreneur schemes.
Mahagathbandhan / RJD
- Double allowances/pensions for Panchayat leaders.
- Bold promises on sensitive issues like the Waqf Act to attract specific voter groups.
Jan Suraaj Party
- Focus on change, merit, transparency, and good governance.
- Positions itself as a challenge to dynastic and caste-based politics.
5️⃣ Candidate Background
- 32% of candidates in phase 2 have criminal backgrounds.
- 562 candidates are millionaires (crorepatis).
6️⃣ Election Forecasts / Exit Polls
- Axis My India: NDA 121–141 seats.
- Chanakya poll: NDA ~160, Mahagathbandhan ~77 (plus/minus margins).
- Possibility of a hung assembly exists depending on third-party performance (JSP, GDA).
7️⃣ Key Takeaways
- Bihar elections have national significance.
- Development, youth issues, and migration could shift traditional voting patterns.
- Emergence of new parties may fragment votes, making results unpredictable.
- Caste and identity politics still matter but face challenge from governance and development narratives.
